Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.494024 0.543010 0.596652 0.660097 0.733537 0.816421 0.917819
2025-10-05 0.425876 0.495356 0.577996 0.685105 0.822646 0.996814 1.239991
2025-10-12 0.384757 0.464560 0.564920 0.703668 0.896091 1.162792 1.578901
2025-10-19 0.350141 0.434427 0.544891 0.705331 0.941847 1.295180 1.903008
2025-10-26 0.317612 0.402096 0.516298 0.688578 0.955121 1.378591 2.171133
2025-11-02 0.290482 0.373771 0.489228 0.668963 0.958685 1.444469 2.426517
2025-11-09 0.269243 0.351408 0.467866 0.654347 0.966466 1.517076 2.717779
2025-11-16 0.251553 0.332451 0.449388 0.641445 0.974154 1.589784 3.035553
2025-11-23 0.236723 0.316398 0.433642 0.630744 0.983378 1.666455 3.393828
2025-11-30 0.229211 0.310471 0.432615 0.643818 1.036976 1.843979 4.094914
2025-12-07 0.218904 0.299543 0.422749 0.640512 1.058849 1.959103 4.690048
2025-12-14 0.209409 0.289199 0.412931 0.636079 1.077564 2.071615 5.351528
2025-12-21 0.196780 0.273591 0.394008 0.614448 1.060322 2.099713 5.767301
2025-12-28 0.193793 0.272950 0.399688 0.638596 1.143595 2.407630 7.566703
2026-01-04 0.189670 0.270170 0.401463 0.655491 1.214417 2.710534 9.793647
2026-01-11 0.183312 0.263341 0.395711 0.657001 1.250233 2.926644 11.956417
2026-01-18 0.174839 0.252566 0.382314 0.641843 1.243600 3.008580 13.451959
2026-01-25 0.166609 0.241793 0.368265 0.624076 1.227923 3.057063 14.844290
2026-02-01 0.159639 0.232804 0.356880 0.610823 1.221836 3.138735 16.755093
2026-02-08 0.153371 0.224715 0.346655 0.599115 1.218114 3.229620 19.068476
2026-02-15 0.147796 0.217556 0.337722 0.589397 1.218345 3.337644 22.008838
2026-02-22 0.145499 0.215882 0.338754 0.601269 1.279573 3.719144 30.504779
2026-03-01 0.141388 0.210882 0.333277 0.598268 1.298604 3.934376 38.224851